Presidential election odds live: Trump vs. Harris polls show who ‘clearly’ has the momentum

Top pollster Frank Luntz says that Donald Trump ‘clearly’ has the momentum going into Election Day, and reveals why the race reminds him of 2016.

Because it reminds me so much of 2016. And I think there are a lot of similarities right now between this campaign and that campaign. The divisions in the country were significant back then, people didn’t think Trump had a chance back then.

He’s been gaining and gaining the momentum. I don’t know who’s going to win. I can’t call it, and nobody should because statistically and polling and focus groups, it is way too close to call.

However, the momentum is clearly — in what I see and what I hear — is in his favor.

Donald Trump has overtaken Kamala Harris in the final DailyMail.com/J.L. Partners national poll before Election Day, with the former president holding a three-point lead over the vice president.

Both candidates have shored up their bases, but Trump has done better at picking up support from independents and undecided voters in the final push, according to the data.

The poll of 1,000 likely voters shows that Trump has the support of 49 percent to Harris’ 46 percent.

The race is still close. Yet, with five days to go, the numbers mean Trump is currently on course to become the first Republican candidate since George W. Bush in 2004 to win the popular vote.

The vice president held a one-point lead when the poll was last conducted in September.

Sen. JD Vance revealed in his interview with Joe Rogan that former President Donald Trump almost asked him to go to Butler, Pennsylvania to make the announcement of his running mate decision.

‘He’s like, actually, wouldn’t it really set the world ablaze if we just made the decision today? And so why don’t you come up with me and we’ll just do the announcement in Butler, Pennsylvania,’ Vance told Rogan.

Trump decided against the idea, citing the need to make more preparations before the announcement.

Vance said he went back to Ohio and took his kids out mini-golfing when he heard the news about the assassination attempt.

‘I actually thought they had killed him because when you first see the video, he grabs his ear and then he goes down,’ he recalled.

He said he rushed his kids to his home and went into ‘fight or flight’ mode.

‘I grabbed my kids up throw them in the car go home and load all my guns and basically stand like a century in our front door,’ he said.

Results of the election in Maricopa County, Arizona could be delayed due to Republican-backed changes to the state law that are expected to make it take more time to fully count the results.

The law enacted in February requires poll workers to tally the number of mail ballot envelopes dropped off at a location before they deliver those the results to the central county facility, and the additional task could take time.

Maricopa County is the largest in the state and one of the most closely watched swing counties.

The envelope count comes before voter signatures on envelopes are verified and ballots are actually counted.

Most of the county’s polling locations did not reporter primary election results until 10: 55pm with the final reporting of results at 1:15am.

This Election Day, that is expected even later. It’s anticipated more people will vote and even after polls close, if they’re in line, they are entitled to be able to vote. At the same time, the ballot is much longer this November, two sheets front and back, meaning it will take voters longer to get through it.

Poll workers must wait until all voters are finished and the location is closed before the count begins for mail ballot envelopes.

The interview between Rogan and Vance spanned for three hours and 17 minutes.

Kamala Harris supporter Mark Cuban has sparked Trump campaign and MAGA fury by saying ‘no strong, intelligent women’ support Donald Trump.

The billionaire businessman was appearing on The View from what appeared to be his private jet when he made the remarks.

Donald Trump’s campaign press secretary joined the backlash by saying the Dallas Mavericks owner’s commentrs were ‘insulting to the thousands of women who work’ for the former president and the ‘tens of millions’ who will vote for him.

Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez highlighted a report about women hiding from their pro-Trump husbands that they voted for Vice President Kamala Harris.

She encouraged people to vote they way they want and insisted ballots are confidential.

Your vote is anonymous and confidential. Who you voted for is YOUR secret. No one can know unless you tell them.

It was in response to an NBC News reporter revealing that a wom an at a Pittsburgh rally for Harris said they leave pot-it notes in girls’ bathrooms reading: ‘NOBODY WILL KNOW WHO YOU VOTED FOR.’

The woman said women in red-leaning areas think their votes might not be private and feel stigmatized if they oppose Donald Trump.

A top election forecaster now predicts Donald Trump has a chance in a state he has never won.

Real Clear Politics’ forecast has moved New Hampshire from ‘leans’ Kamala Harris to a ‘toss-up’ in a major boost for the Republican nominee.

The GOP hasn’t won The Granite State since 2000 and has been blue ever since.

Harris is still leading by 4.5 percent in Real Clear Politics’ polling average.

But polls in recent days show the margins are razor-thin as Trump gains momentum.

The presidential candidates are facing an electorate unhappy with the direction of the country and dissatisfied with Joe Biden’s job performance, according to Gallup’s October data.

But Kamala Harris can take solace in another factor: voters view her more favorably than Donald Trump, in a key metric. An overwhelming 72 percent are dissatisfied with the direction of the country, compared to just 26 percent of adults who are satisfied. Among Independents, 74 percent are dissatisfied.

The incumbent party has not won a presidential election with satisfaction, according to Gallup. The lowest amount where an incumbent got reelected was 33 percent when Barack Obama won a second term in 2012.

Biden’s October job approval rating was 41 percent, about where it has been over the last three years. Harris’s approval is slightly better at 45 percent.

Harris’s final favorability rating is 49-48 percent, better than Trump’s 44-54 percent rating, a figure that puts him ‘under water.’ The candidate with the higher rating ‘typically has won recent presidential elections,’ according to Gallup.

Senator Chuck Grassley, R-Iowa, said whistleblowers told him that Secret Service leadership is ‘interfering’ in the investigation into the first Trump assassination attempt on July 13.

Jake Paul has revealed who he’s supporting in the 2024 US Presidential election – though he acknowledged he can’t actually take part himself.

The boxer, who rescinded his right to vote when he moved to Puerto Rico, released an 18-minute video on X Thursday in which he laid out why he wanted Donald Trump to be president.

In the clip, Paul, 27, brings up the economy, border control and even transgenderism as issues that have swayed his thinking toward Trump.

Jon Michael Raasch, Political Reporter for DailyMail.com

Kamala Harris is sounding the alarm on Donald Trump’s healthcare plans after a key ally of his floated the elimination of Obamacare.

‘The Affordable Care Act is at stake in this election,’ Harris said Thursday. ‘Repealing it has been a part of Donald Trump’s agenda for a very long time.’

‘He has made dozens of attempts to get rid of the Affordable Care Act and now we have further validation of that agenda from Mike Johnson. Understand what that would mean for people with preexisting conditions,’ she told reporters.

The Democrat’s concerns come just a day after Johnson said the ACA, also known as Obamacare, could soon be a thing of the past – something Trump first promised in 2016.

‘Health-care reform’s going to be a big part of the agenda,’ Johnson teasing some of the Republicans’ plans should they take control of Congress. The GOP will take a ‘blowtorch to the regulatory state,’ he added, saying the medical industry has been particularly impacted.

When someone from the crowd asked if Obamacare would be gone, Johnson replied, ‘No Obamacare.’

The implications would be vast as over 45 million Americans currently use the healthcare plan.

By Emily Goodin, senior White House correspondent

Kamala Harris slammed Donald Trump for his comment that he would be the ‘protector’ of women ‘whether the women like it or not.’

She called it ‘offensive.’

‘It’s very offensive to women in terms of not understanding their agency, their authority, their right and their ability to make decisions about their own lives, including their own bodies,’ Harris said.

‘And this is just the latest on a series of reveals by the former president of how he thinks about women and their agency. Whether he has said, as he has, that women should be punished for their choices, whether he has talked about his pride in taking away a fundamental right from women. Whether it be how he has actually created a situation in America where now one in three women lives in a trump abortion-ban state.’

She also slammed Speaker Mike Johnson and his House Republicans for wanting to repeal the Affordable Care Act, saying they were doing Trump’s will.

‘He did not prioritize the freedom of women and the intelligence of women to make decisions about their own lives and bodies, and healthcare for all Americans is on the line in this election as well,’ she said.

Trump said at a rally on Wednesday night that he would protect American women ‘whether the women like it or not.’

‘I said, well, I’m going to do it whether the women like it or not. I am going to protect them,’ the former president said.

After allegations of voter fraud in several Pennsylvania counties, Smith said ‘all sides should work together to make sure that Pennsylvanians are not disenfranchised’ and that a voter ID requirement could help the process.

Last week, a criminal investigation was launched after thousands of suspected fraudulent voter registrations were discovered in the critical swing state of Pennsylvania.

The Lancaster County Board of Elections announced Friday that staff members identified 2,500 suspected fraudulent voter registration applications, which had been dropped off at the election office.

Some had false names, suspicious handwriting, questionable signatures, incorrect addresses or other problematic details.

By Emily Goodin, senior White House correspondent

Gwen Walz, while campaigning in Georgia, went after Donald Trump for his comment that he would be the ‘protector’ of women ‘whether the women like it or not.’

Walz, the wife of Democratic vice presidential nominee Tm Walz, said the comment showed that Trump ‘wants power over us.’

‘It pretty much says all you need to know about Donald Trump and the agenda he wants to impose on us. He doesn’t trust us. He thinks he can speak for us. He wants power over us,’ she said. ‘I don’t know about you, but I never asked Trump to be my protector. ‘

By Emily Goodin, senior White House correspondent

Women have outpaced men when it comes to early voting, which may be a sign of trouble for Donald Trump’s presidential campaign.

Women make up 54% of that number while men make up 44%.

Several swing states see a similar 10% difference between the genders when it comes to who has voted early: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Georgia and North Carolina.

Pennsylvania, in particular, could be key to deciding the winner of the White House.

While the numbers only show that more women have voted – but not who they voted for – polls show Trump has a significant deficit with female voters compared to Kamala Harris.

The $1 million giveaway case involving Elon Musk may be moved to federal court.

Legal drama broke out after Musk was sued by Democratic Philadelphia District Attorney Larry Krasner for ‘running an illegal lottery in Philadelphia.’

Musk was summoned to an emergency court hearing today over the $1 million giveaway he has been running for registered voters in swing states.

But he asked that the venue for the legal battle be moved to federal court.

Lawyers on his behalf argued that the allegations by Krasner:

Turn principally on the allegation that defendants are somehow unlawfully interfering with a federal election.

Allan Lichtman, who has become known as a the ‘Nostradamus’ of election forecasting, believes Trump’s appearance at the wheel of a garbage truck may prove a disaster for him.

Trump carried out the stunt after Joe Biden referred to the Republican’s supporters as ‘garbage’. Biden later disputed that he had done so.

Lichtman has achieved great success using an unusual model to predict election results over the last 40 years.

He recalled the 1988 election when Michael Dukakis, the Democratic nominee, was mocked for riding in a tank.

Is the garbage truck caper Trump’s Michael Dukakis moment. He looks no less awkward and out of place in the garbage truck than Dukakis did in that infamous 1988 ad riding a tank. “One of the worst campaign backfires in history,” Politico said of the tank ad.

Joe Rogan discussed his feelings toward Trump’s VP candidate during a session with British podcasters Francis Foster and Konstantin Kisin.

Rogan said about Vance days before they taped a nearly four-hour long interview:

I really like the way J.D. Vance talks. He’s not screamy, yelly, he’s very smooth and he’s very coordinated.

Very good good at being a politician. He’s does all these interviews and talks to CNN who tries to corner him on stuff.

The highly-anticipated interview between Rogan and Vance is set to be released at 1 p.m. on Thursday.

Kamala Harris’ speeches in three swing states on Wednesday were derailed by hecklers in the critical final stretch of the campaign with the polls on a knife edge.

The vice president was in the middle of her remarks in the battlegrounds of North Carolina and Pennsylvania when the demonstrators started screaming and shouting at her.

The Democratic nominee slapped down the interruptions both times by invoking Donald Trump and claiming he considers his critics the ‘enemy.’

Her third rally of the long day also was interrupted.

Biden – infamous for his playful interaction with children at public events – also feigned fright at the creepy costumes of his young visitors alongside his wife Jill who was dressed in a full-body panda suit.

The 81-year-old president was pictured biting the leg of a baby dressed as a turkey, chomping the toe of a child in an ice cream cone costume and nibbling at a third baby wearing a blue dress.

Billionaire hedge fund manager Ken Griffin has said that Donald Trump is likely to win next week’s election – but he said the margin will be razor-thin.

‘The expectation today is that Donald Trump will win the White House,’ the Citadel founder said on Tuesday.

However, Griffin – whose $42 billion fortune makes him the 37th richest person in the world – noted the race is ‘almost a coin flip.’

A prominent Republican donor, Griffin has contributed around $100 million to the GOP during this election cycle, Bloomberg reported.

Griffin is also notorious among retail investors for his involvement in the 2021 GameStop stock frenzy, where he was accused of helping hedge funds who faced big losses if the share price went too high.

Julia Roberts has urged wives of Trump supporters to secretly vote for Kamala Harris in the US presidential election in a new YouTube video.

The Oscar-winning actress, 57, who has been campaigning for Harris and vice presidential nominee Tim Walz, narrated a video by progressive evangelical group Vote Common Good – which encouraged women to ‘vote any way you want and no-one will ever know.’

In the video, a husband and wife – both sporting stars and stripes caps and apparently Donald Trump supporters – are seen heading into a voting center.

The husband says ‘Your turn honey’ as the woman walks into a booth.

Catching eyes with another female voter across the room, she smiles and casts her vote for Harris-Walz.

Donald Trump provided hilarious insight into his campaign team’s decision to put him in a fluorescent orange vest at his rally in Wisconsin last night.

The 45th president rolled up to the event in a garbage truck after Joe Biden’s extraordinary gaffe the day before when he branded Trump supporters ‘garbage.’

Seizing on the moment in classic Trumpian style, the ex-president then decided to keep the orange vest on as he took to the stage in Green Bay.

He told the crowd that he had wanted to take the high visibility clothing off but his team advised that it would be better if he wore it for his speech.

‘I said “No way!” but they said it actually makes you look thinner,’ Trump joked. ‘And they got me – I said I wanna wear it on stage … I may never wear my blue jacket again. I may go in this.’

Republicans are ahead in rural Nevada as early voting shows signs that the left-leaning state could flip red on November 5.

More than 856,000 ballots for mail-in and early voting were posted as of Wednesday night – meaning 42 percent of registered voters have already cast their ballots in Nevada so far.

And the GOP turn out in rural areas is giving the party an advantage with Republicans having a 40,500-ballot lead, which is 5.2 percent more than Democrats.

Democrats were only able to pull ahead in Clark County, which is where Las Vegas is, by a measly 10 points.

The new and iconic Las Vegas Sphere on the Strip dons an ‘I Voted’ sticker as early voting continues in the left-leaning swing state of Nevada

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban said he has wished Donald Trump good luck with five days until the 2024 presidential election.

The Europan strongman who has been very open about his support for the Republican nominee said he had his ‘fingers crossed’.

Tucked away in the far northwest corner of country just before the cliffs drop off into the Pacific Ocean lies America’s last true bellwether county.

A decidedly purple place, the small, rural region of Clallam County in Washington boasts an unmatched record of voting for every presidential election winner since Ronald Reagan in 1980.

This is the longest success streak of any of America’s 3,143 counties.

Now all eyes are on this unassuming county once again to see which way the wind is blowing for 2024, as vice president Kamala Harris faces off against former president Donald Trump in a divisive, neck and neck race.

So far, the demographic outcome of early voting in North Carolina is a red flag to Kamala Harris’ chances in the red-leaning swing state.

The electorate in the state has skewed older and whiter compared to the voter registration in the state.

Some Democrats think for Vice President Kamala Harris to be competitive and flip the state in 2024, there needs to be a turnout of 20 percent black voters. As of Wednesday, black voters made up about 18 percent of the early voting electorate in North Carolina.

Turnout among this key demographic for Harris is lagging so far. In 2020 there were 36,000 more black Americans who had voted in-person by this point.

Early voter data shows that women and suburban voters are so far outperforming the other demographics in North Carolina.

Voters cast their ballots in early voting in Black Mountain, North Carolina on October 29, 2024 – one month after Hurricane Helene hit the area

Steve Bannon has advice for Donald Trump on how to win the election: Keep doing your thing, be yourself and make sure outside groups maintain a fierce focus on getting out the vote.

‘I would tell President Trump, continue, do your rallies,’ he told DailyMail.com in an interview.

‘Do what you do. Just be yourself. You’re authentic.

‘Just be yourself, and let your staff and let these outside groups just really power through the next six, seven days and get as many people to vote by and on November 5.’

He has had four months to think about strategy, cooped up in federal prison where he was serving a sentence for two counts of contempt of Congress.

A top election data guru revealed a major sign that former President Donald Trump could win the presidential election next week.

CNN senior political data reporter Harry Enten said a key metric going into the election in six days is the low number of voters who feel the country is on the ‘right track.’

Just 28 percent of Americans in an aggregate of recent polls believe that the country is going in the right direction.

That’s a significant hurdle for Vice President Kamala Harris to overcome, Enten told CNN anchor John Berman and Kate Bolduan.

‘There isn’t a single time in which 28 percent of the American public thinks the country is going on the right track in which the incumbent party actually won,’ Enten said, citing every election since the 1980s.

‘The bottom line is if Republicans win come next week, Donald Trump wins come next week, the signs all along will have been obvious,’ he said.

Polling guru Nate Silver’s forecasting model has Donald Trump with a 55 percent chance of wining the election, and Kamala Harris 45 percent.

But Silver notes there have been ‘pretty bad’ polls for two election cycles in a row.

He told a CNBC event Trump voters might be more ‘charged’ this time, and therefore more likely to answer in polls. He said:

A lot of pollsters are throwing up their hands. They’re printing a tie. There is what we call herding, where people are gravitating towards the consensus. They don’t want opinions too out of line.

Swing state of Michigan remains a toss-up just five days before the 2024 presidential election.

Among registered voters, Trump takes an advantage with 47 percent to Harris’ 45 percent. But among likely voters, the scales are tipped the other way with 47 percent for the vice president and 46 percent backing the former president.

Both results are within the poll’s margin of error of 3.7 percentage points.

Michigan, with 15 Electoral College votes, joins Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin as the states that will determine the outcome of the presidential election.

Former President Bill Clinton and Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer campaign for Kamala Harris at Christ Temple Apostolic Faith Church in Muskegon Heights, Michigan on October 30, 2024

A Republican strategist revealed that internal polling has arrived and operatives inside President Donald Trump’s campaign are concerned they ‘aren’t where they need to be.’

Margaret Hoover appeared on CNN’s The Source Wednesday and told host Kaitlan Collins that early voting numbers point to ‘real enthusiasm, which is hard to measure.’

‘I think their internals are actually giving them pause,’ said Hoover, who worked on George W. Bush’s 2004 re-election campaign and Rudy Giuliani’s failed 2008 run for the White House.

‘They do have a lot of resources for polling – more than public media companies have. And they’re probably seeing the same things that you guys are talking about, which is that there’s real groundswell in the early vote,’ she added.

A higher number of registered Democrats, over 11 million, have voted so far, compared to 10.5 million registered Republicans, according to data from 25 states that report party registration.

But the New York Democrat glossed those allegations over – despite Emhoff’s people confirming his affair with the nanny – to gush to a crowd of students at the University of Nevada, Las Vegas that he was the ideal modern male.

The House COVID Select Committee told DailyMail.com:

Overwhelming evidence uncovered by the Select Subcommittee proves that Mr. Cuomo reviewed, edited, and even drafted portions of a purportedly independent and peer-reviewed New York State Department of Health (NYSDOH) Report that was used to combat criticism of his Administration’s pandemic-era nursing home policies.

The Select Subcommittee recommends the DOJ review the evidence laid out in the criminal referral and immediately evaluate criminal charges against Mr. Cuomo.

The screen is dark, illuminated briefly by the word ‘ inflation ‘ and a display of numbers ticking upwards.

It cuts to a dark night, as a police officer shines a flashlight and a dark figure runs through the streets as part of what the narrator calls a ‘pandemic of lawlessness.’

Allies of former President Donald Trump are launching an ‘American nightmare’ ad to coincide with Halloween on Thursday.

The sound of Kamala Harris’ laughter echoes through scenes of a dystopian country, grappling with rising prices , crime and risk of war with Iran .

Only at the end does a character emerge panting into daylight in front of a neat-lawned family home.

Donald Trump holds a comfortable lead over Kamala Harris in the 2024 election betting markets with five days left of the campaign.

The Real Clear Politics average of betting platforms has the Republican nominee 26.8 points ahead.

UK bookmaker Betfair gives Trump a 25-point advantage in his chances of winning while BetOnline has him 28 points up.

While the gap between Trump and Harris may be sizeable, anything can happen in the final stretch of the campaign.

American platform Kalshi has seen Harris’ odds improve five percent in the last 24 hours.

Final polling in Pennsylvania shows Kamala Harris falling behind in the days before the 2024 presidential election.

With just five days until Election Day, multiple polls exhibit the vice president’s slip in the key battleground swing state with 19 Electoral College votes. Pennsylvania has voted for the person who won the presidential election in 48 of the last 59 elections.

The latest Fox News poll conducted October 24 and 28 has the former president with a one-pioint advantage over Harris in a head-to-head matchup.

And another survey conducted by Monmouth University in the same time period has Trump also a single point ahead of Harris among likely voters – 47 percent to 46 percent.

Both are within the respective polls’ margin of error.

Donald Trump trolled Joe Biden and Kamala Harris by riding a MAGA garbage truck to his rally in Wisconsin on Wednesday night in response to Biden’s comments that upended the presidential race with a week to go.

The former president rolled up to reporters on the tarmac in Green Bay, leaning out the window to take questions before his event in the battleground which is one of the seven states that will decide the election.

Trump and Harris are locked in a statistical tie in Wisconsin, and nationwide they are separated by by razor-thin margins as one of the closet campaigns in history draws to a close.

‘How do you like my garbage truck? This truck is in honor of Kamala and Joe Biden,’ he told the waiting media while wearing an orange workman’s vest.

‘For Joe Biden to make that statement — it’s really a disgrace,’ he added before speaking to supporters while Harris addressed her own fans in a different part of the state.

Trump was referring to the comments made by 81-year-old Biden that referred to his supporters as ‘garbage.’