Game on! Sabalenka takes the second set and has all the momentum: 3-6, 6-2
Aryna goes up 30-0 with yet another drop shot. Those were a rarity in the first set but she’s peppered Keys with them since, and done a beautiful job of it.
Keys can’t get it over the net with what should have been an easy winner. She needs to recollect herself here, although she isn’t showing many visible signs of frustration despite the huge change in fortunes.
Another double fault from Sabalenka makes it 40-30.
A Keys shot goes just a tad long and it’s one set apiece.
Sabalenka holds: 1-1 in the third
A brutal ace by Sabalenka makes it 40-15 to her, then a second serve to Keys’ backhand works a charm as she hits it long. Easy hold there.
Keys holds to lead 1-0 in the deciding set
That’s more like it from the American, who is staying composed despite a withering assault from Sabalenka seeing her get crushed in the second frame.
One fan stands out from the rest with a penetrating cry
Aryna has a tiger tattoo and tigers on her shoes, and is well known for her love of the animal, which is a big inspiration to her.
And a fan has picked up that ball and is running with it, screaming ‘Eye of the tiger!’ with the sort of volume that will leave her neighbouring spectators with industrial deafness if they’re not careful.
It’s a reference to the famous line and song from the third Rocky film, which is all about the title character making a huge comeback. Fitting.
Keys holds but trails 5-2 with Sabalenka to serve for the second set
Sabalenka with an error on return of serve to give Keys her second game of the set. The champion will serve for the second frame after staging a very impressive turnaround.
Five in a row for Sabalenka and she leads 5-1 in the second
Keys appears to be getting to grips with the focus on her backhand after commentator Jelena Dokic questioned whether she might have picked up an injury due to her very poor run over the last few games.
A monster ace from Sabalenka brings it to deuce – amazing serve under pressure there. She follows that with another beautiful drop shot.
Keys strikes a weaponised winner down the line at full stretch to bring it back to deuce. This is a very high-quality game.
And as I write that, Sabalenka whacks one into the net despite having plenty of time to set up the shot. Another drop shot on a very fine angle erases that mistake.
Backhand slice into the net by Keys and it’s advantage Sabalenka, who wins the next to hold and take her fifth game in a row.
Double break for Sabalenka makes it 4-1 and she’s right back in it
The drop shot works well for Sabalenka yet again, as does the now constant targeting of the American’s backhand. A double break comes on the back of a brilliant passing shot with Keys charging the net. The chances of that hat-trick of wins just got a whole lot better…
Sabalenka goes up 3-1 in the second frame
Keys is struggling with Sabalenka’s focus on her backhand, producing unforced errors off it at crucial moments. She gets to 30-all but lets that game slip away…
Sabalenka’s tactical switch works and she breaks to lead 2-1 in the second set
A great backspin forehand with Keys coming into the net had the American completely mystified – she missed that by a mile.
You get the feeling Sabalenka is working her way back into this, starting to target her opponent’s backhand, and she has a break point that Keys rescues with another ace.
The American almost breaks a ball kid’s nose with a very wayward backhand, then digs herself back to deuce with another unreturnable first serve. That’s one area where she has it all over Aryna.
Big return down the line by Sabalenka earns her another break point and this time she capitalises.
Sabalenka holds to be down 6-3, 1-1
Keys didn’t make that easy but some brutal displays of power get the reigning champ on the board in the second frame.
Keys is hit in the head by a rocket
Sabalenka makes it 15-all with a laser beam of a shot that richochets off Keys’ racquet and hits her on the side of the head. That was a bouncer Aussie cricket skipper Pat Cummins would’ve been proud of.
Sabalenka in ‘incredibly unusual’ act as Keys survives tough battle to hold serve, take 1-0 lead in the second set
A rushed overhead with the court wide open to her – branded ‘incredibly unusual’ by commentator Sam Smith – leaves Sabalenka so disgusted she drops her racquet to the court.
But she regathers quickly, sending a crafty backspin drop shot over for a winner to make it 30-all, then rocketing a winner down the line for a brilliant return of serve winner.
Keys charges in and Sabalenka rushes her shot, pushing it into the net. Deuce.
Keys comes in again, Aryna is cramped and sends it into the net, and she’s furious with herself.
Then Madison relieves the pressure with an unforced error and it’s deuce once more.
Another unforced error from Keys, who makes up for it with a well-placed ace.
‘I think it really surprised Sabalenka’
Former Aussie star Alicia Molik says Keys’ reliance on her slice backhand has ambushed the reigning champ and put her on the back foot.
Keys takes the first set 6-3
Jelena Dokic in commentary says Sabalenka is trying too hard to make up for her poor service game – and on the very next point, Keys booms a backhand down the line to take the set.
The stats that tell the story
Keys is on top for aces (2-0), percentage of first serves in, wins on first serve, and second serve, she has 10 winners to Sabalenka’s four, but the unforced errors are closer than they seem – 12 to the Belarusian, 10 to the American.
Sabalenka breaks, trails 5-3
Growing signs of frustration for Sabalenka as a mishit sees the ball fly far past the baseline. She is a very unhappy camper.
Then Keys comes up with a ghastly mistake of her own, over-hitting what should have been an easy winner from close to the net – followed by sinking it into the net on the next point.
And another shot into the net makes it 15-40 in easily her worst game of the match so far.
Sabalenka lets her back into it with another unforced error, then gets the break she desperately needed.
The photo that sums up how it’s going so far
Sabalenka holds – Keys to serve for the first set at 5-2
Sabalenka is way off the form that got her this far. Double faults, hitting easy shots into the net, spraying her ground strokes long… and the frustration is starting to show.
Great rally at 30-all and Keys comes out on top. She seems to be reading Sabalenka really well and getting into great position for each shot.
A sledgehammer serve takes it to deuce, then Keys hits past the baseline to give the champ the advantage.
Massive return from Keys takes it to deuce again. Sabalenka didn’t even bother moving to try to get to that one.
The stars exchange points as this game see-saws, then Keys makes an unforced error and Sabalenka holds.
Keys wins her serve to love and is up 5-1
The American breezed through that one, hitting a stunning drop shot winner that had the crowd gasping and left Sabalenka incredulous.
Incredible start by the 19th seed.
Sabalenka is broken AGAIN as Keys goes up 4-1
More service problems for Sabalenka, with another double fault leaving her down 30-40.
Then she cops a double break as an attempted drop shot hits the net as she charges in.
Keys is showing no ill effects from her long semifinal and she is taking advantage of her opponent’s many mistakes.
More Aussie sporting royalty in the stands
Here’s swimming legend Ian Thorpe, looking like he raided Elwood Blues’s wardrobe.
Keys holds, goes up 3-1
A 182km/h ace by Keys puts her up 30-love, then she sends a forehand into the tramlines. An unforced error from Sabalenka makes it 40-15, then Keys misses a sitter as she can’t capitalise on another great serve. The reigning champ over-hits a return and it’s 3-1 Keys.
Keys remains up 2-1 as Sabalenka holds
Keys is playing brilliantly here, moving Sabalenka around and taking advantage of her relative lack of mobility with some great shot placement and going up 30-15 before Aryna hits back with a dynamite forehand and big first serve before holding for the first time tonight.
Spot the Aussie cricket legend
Here’s David Boon, who’ll be known to locals as one of the country’s biggest cricket cult heros.
For all you non-Aussies, he’s also known for drinking 52 cans of beer on a flight from Sydney to London.
Keys goes up 2-0
Keys went up 30-love on her serve before some heavy ground strokes and a brilliant return brought Sabalenka back into it. Keys comes to the net and hits and easy overhead winner after moving Aryna around the court, then seals the game with a great first serve.
Jackie Chan is front and centre
He was giving Lleyton Hewitt martial arts tips before, now he’s got one of the best seats in the house.
Sabalenka is broken in the first game
A service game littered with faults from the Belarusian, putting herself down 30-40 with two doubles, and the wind might have played a bit of a role in those. Keys capitalises and she gets a dream start.
And we’re underway!
Sabalenka is serving, and she begins by sending the ball long for a fault… and then another one. Not an ideal start…
Keys and Sabalenka are warming up
We’re in the final stages of the countdown now…
Why the trophy arrived with a rugby legend
Evonne Goolagong Cawley arriving on centre court with the Daphne Akhurst Memorial Cup is to be expected… but rugby great Dan Carter? What’s that all about?
The devil is in the detail here. You’ll see that the cup arrived in a Louis Vuitton case after the luxury firm reached a deal to make the trunk the silverware arrives in, and Carter – one of the greatest All Blacks ever – is an ambassador for the brand.
Sabalenka and Keys are ready to make their way on to centre court
And the trophy has already arrived, accompanied by Aussie tennis legend Evonne Goolagong Cawley.
Why there’ll be something missing for Sabalenka if she wins
You’ve already seen why the No.1 seed will have a blank space next to her name on the graphics broadcast for tonight’s final as Belarus’s role in the Ukraine war sees the nation’s flag replaced with a blank space.
That extends to the way Sabalenka’s name will be engraved into the trophy if she beats keys. Unlike other title holders, she will not have the abbreviated name of her country etched into the mug.
Just moments away from the first serve
Sabalenka and Keys are due to make their way onto the court at any minute…
Sabalenka is vying to win three Australian Open titles in a row. Here are the women who have already done it…
The last woman to record a hat-trick of titles was Martina Hingis, from 1997 to 1999.
Before her we have Monica Seles (1991-93), Steffi Graf (1988-90), Evonne Goolagong Cawley (1974-76) and Margaret Court (1969-71).
Madison Keys has an important message for Frances Tiafoe: Shut up!
The American star shared a light-hearted superstition she has about her good friend and countryman.
‘We have this kind of joke where in the past he wouldn’t say anything pre-tournament … and then he would text me in the quarters or the semis or something, and I would lose in the next round. So we have this new rule: don’t text me, I don’t want to hear from you at all, just leave me alone and we’ll talk after the tournament.’
What it’s like to watch the final from the best seats in the house – for the low, low price of $32,000
Club 1905 is the pinnacle of luxury at Melbourne Park. If you’d sold your car or taken out a second mortgage to secure your place in the exclusive group, here’s what you’d be getting…
Former star’s huge call on Keys’ last match
Former Australian star turned commentator Alicia Molik belives Keys will have to overcome the ‘incredibly physical’ three-set semi she won over Iga Swiatek to come out on top tonight, but she isn’t writing off her chances at all.
‘It is the best tennis played in that match that I have seen in the last 10 or 12 years,’ she said of the dramatic semifinal.
‘That’s not just here in the Australian Open, that is in women’s tennis full stop.’
What happened the last time Keys was in a grand slam final
Keys contested the 2017 US Open final against her countrywoman Sloane Stephens – and it did not go well for her at all.
After losing the first set 6-3, she was blown away 6-0 to lose the match after making 30 unforced errors to Stephens’ six.
Keys was the favourite heading into the clash.
‘Sloane is one of my favourite people, I didn’t play my best tennis and if there’s someone I have to lose to today I’m glad it’s her,’ Keys said as she struggled to contain her emotions afterwards.
Why Sabalenka is getting blanked on Channel Nine tonight
Eagle-eyed viewers tonight will pick up on the fact that while Madison Keys will have the US flag displayed next to her name on Nine’s graphic, there’s just a blank space for Aryna Sabalenka. Here’s the explanation…
The omission of the flag extends to the way Sabalenka’s name will be engraved into the trophy if she beats keys. Unlike other title holders, she will not have the abbreviated name of her country etched into the mug.
The bizarre story behind tonight’s silverware
Whoever wins the final will be presented with the Daphne Akhurst Memorial Cup, pictured below, which was first awarded in 1934.
The trophy was actually made in England, and it’s named after the Aussie who won the title in 1925, 1926, 1928, 1929 and 1930.
In 1970, the lid of the cup went missing because the Open had shifted to Sydney and only the base was brought north to NSW.
Former Tennis Australia boss Geoff Pollard and his wife found the missing piece when they were going through cupboards at Sydney’s White City stadium around 1982.
Whoever gets up tonight will get a full-size replica of the mug – with the lid.
Keys is loose as a goose
Madison Keys looks completely unruffled in this clip from the players’ gym, with just over an hour to go before she tries to win her first grand slam.
Jelena Dokic names the one thing Keys CANNOT afford to do if she’s going to take the title in a huge upset
The tennis star turned Nine commentator believes the American is doomed if she drops the first set against Sabalenka.
Keys went a set down to Iga Swiatek in her semi before her stirring fightback saw her survive a match point to advance – but Dokic believes she won’t be able to overcome a similar start against the top seed.
‘If she doesn’t get a good start, even if she doesn’t win the first set, I think it’s going to be very hard for her to win from there,’ Dokic told Nine.
How much will tonight’s finalists earn?
This year’s prize money pool for the grand slam went up by almost 12 per cent to $96.5million.
Whoever wins tonight will pocket $3.5million, with the runner-up getting a $1.9million boost to their bank account.
Revealed: The easy-to-miss change that rocketed Madison Keys into the Australian Open final
Madison Keys has borrowed a very effective ploy from the Roger Federer playbook to be on the brink of an improbable Australian Open finals triumph.
Last year was shocker for the American, with Keys forced to quit with a hamstring injury while leading eventual runner-up Jasmine Paolini 5-2 in the fourth round of Wimbledon.
She also missed the Paris Olympics and crashed out in the third round back in New York at the US Open.
So Keys, at the behest of her coach and husband Bjorn Frantangelo, figured something had to change.
Just as Federer changed to a bigger racquet head before conquering great rival Rafael Nadal in the 2017 Australian Open final, Keys made a bold equipment change before the summer.
The 2017 US Open runner-up switched from Wilson to Yonex – and the results have been incredible.
Keys is unbeaten in 2025, following up her march to the Adelaide International title with six straights wins at Melbourne Park to make the final.
Why Aussie fans have been branded ‘ugly’ and ‘a disgrace’ over shocking Australian Open moment
Lleyton Hewitt meets movie royalty behind the scenes at the Open
Superstar Jackie Chan has caught up with the Aussie tennis great after being mobbed by fans at Melbourne Park when he was greeted by performers in dragon costumes earlier in the day. Chan also had a chat with men’s singles finalist Alexander Zverev near the players’ gym.
How Keys made it to the final
Career win-loss record: 397-220
Grand slam win-loss record: 115-45
Australian Open win-loss record: 30-12
Best Australian Open results: finalist 2024; semi-finalist 2015, 2022
Thanks for joining Daily Mail Australia’s live blog of the women’s singles final from Melbourne Park.
We’ll be bringing you all the latest news, opinion and best moments as Aryna Sabalenka tries to make it a hat-trick of Australian Open titles.
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Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys – Australian Open women’s final: Live score and set-by-set updates as the World No.1 eyes third-straight title